CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America

Curaçao

DWWWL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Panama

DDDLL

Curaçao vs Panama prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.31

8/10Rating
1.31Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultPanama to win52% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.62

Win chances

Curaçao27%fair 3.68 · @3.28
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Panama52%fair 1.93 · @1.99
3.35Expected goals
1.37Curaçao xG
1.97Panama xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Curaçao 1.4 – 2.0 Panama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Panama shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 27% for Curaçao.

Curaçao have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Panama have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Curaçao come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.3 goals (1.4 for Curaçao, 2.0 for Panama). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (7%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.31 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPanama to win52%1.931.99
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.711.87 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.291.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.832.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals57%1.75–
Half-time resultPanama ahead at half-time39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Panama / FT Panama32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.62–

Form

Curaçao – last 6

DWWWLD
4 Oct@ Trinidad and Tobago1–1D
1 Octvs Trinidad and Tobago1–0W
28 Sepvs Nicaragua6–1W
25 Sep@ Costa Rica4–3W
25 Junvs Ivory Coast0–2L
21 Jun@ Ecuador0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Panama – last 6

DDDLLL
5 Oct@ Ecuador1–1D
1 Octvs New Zealand1–1D
25 Sep@ India1–1D
27 Junvs England0–2L
24 Junvs Croatia0–1L
18 Jun@ Ghana0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Panama.

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

Bermuda St. Lucia 201466 2St. Lucia to win 66%@1.76

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Panama?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Curaçao vs Panama?

On our numbers Curaçao have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Panama 52%.

How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Panama?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Curaçao vs Panama?

Curaçao vs Panama (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.