
Curaçao

Panama
Curaçao vs Panama prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.31
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Curaçao 1.4 – 2.0 Panama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Panama shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 27% for Curaçao.
Curaçao have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Panama have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Curaçao come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.4 for Curaçao, 2.0 for Panama). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.31 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Panama to win | 52% | 1.93 | 1.99 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | 1.87 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 2.08 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Half-time result | Panama ahead at half-time | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Panama / FT Panama | 32% | 3.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 10.62 | – |
Form
Curaçao – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Trinidad and Tobago | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Oct | vs Trinidad and Tobago | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | vs Nicaragua | 6–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Costa Rica | 4–3 | W |
| 25 Jun | vs Ivory Coast | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | @ Ecuador | 0–0 | D |
Panama – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Ecuador | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Oct | vs New Zealand | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ India | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jun | vs England | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | vs Croatia | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jun | @ Ghana | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Panama.
More CONCACAF Nations League predictions
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Panama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Curaçao vs Panama?
On our numbers Curaçao have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Panama 52%.
How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Panama?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Curaçao vs Panama?
Curaçao vs Panama (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.