Bermuda
St. Lucia
Bermuda vs St. Lucia prediction & analysis
St. Lucia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.76
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bermuda 1.3 – 2.5 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
St. Lucia travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 20% for Bermuda.
Bermuda have taken 0 points from their last 5 matches (0W 0D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.2 per game. St. Lucia have 9 points from their last 5 (3W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. St. Lucia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.3 for Bermuda, 2.5 for St. Lucia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 1–1 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bermuda have won 0, St. Lucia have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.
Our pick is St. Lucia to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.76 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | St. Lucia to win | 66% | 1.52 | 1.76 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 86% | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 67% | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | 1.76 |
| Half-time result | St. Lucia ahead at half-time | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT St. Lucia / FT St. Lucia | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 10.84 | – |
Form
Bermuda – last 5
| 6 Oct | vs Barbados | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Barbados | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ St. Lucia | 2–5 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Guadeloupe | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Cape Verde Islands | 0–3 | L |
St. Lucia – last 5
| 5 Oct | @ Guadeloupe | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Guadeloupe | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Bermuda | 5–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Barbados | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ Azerbaijan | 1–6 | L |
Head to head
| 29 Sep 2026 | St. Lucia v Bermuda | 5–2 |
More CONCACAF Nations League predictions
Curaçao
Panama
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.31
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
Our pick is St. Lucia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
On our numbers Bermuda have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 14% and St. Lucia 66%.
How many goals will there be in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
Bermuda vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.