Copa Del Rey · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Tarancon

Tarancón

LDDWW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Levante

DLLWD

Tarancón vs Levante prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.29

7/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultLevante to win74% · @1.12
Double chanceLevante or draw93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.98
GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–210% · fair 9.90

Win chances

Tarancón7%fair 15.04 · @15.25
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @8.30
Levante74%fair 1.35 · @1.12
3.63Expected goals
0.87Tarancón xG
2.76Levante xG
58%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–210%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–17%
0–46%

From our goals model: Tarancón 0.9 – 2.8 Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Levante travel as clear favourites – 74% to win, against 7% for Tarancón.

Tarancón have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Levante have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.6 goals (0.9 for Tarancón, 2.8 for Levante). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 0–3 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.98 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLevante to win74%1.351.12
Double chanceLevante or draw93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.98 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals87%1.151.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals70%1.421.29
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals50%2.001.90
Half-time resultLevante ahead at half-time57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Levante / FT Levante53%1.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–210%9.90–

Form

Tarancón – last 6

LDDWWD
8 Novvs La Solana0–2L
31 Oct@ Noblejas2–2D
24 Octvs Villarrubia1–1D
18 Oct@ Quintanar del Rey2–1W
10 Octvs Socuéllamos1–0W
3 Oct@ Marchamalo2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Levante – last 6

DLLWDD
8 Nov@ Celta Vigo0–0D
31 Octvs Atletico Madrid0–2L
25 Oct@ Real Sociedad1–2L
21 Octvs Athletic Club3–1W
16 Oct@ Deportivo La Coruna1–1D
12 Octvs Sevilla3–3D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tarancón and Levante.

More Copa Del Rey predictions

Calvo Sotelo Albacete 172261 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 Navalcarnero Real Betis 101970 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tarancón vs Levante?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Tarancón vs Levante?

On our numbers Tarancón have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Levante 74%.

How many goals will there be in Tarancón vs Levante?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Tarancón vs Levante?

Tarancón vs Levante (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Tarancon.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.