Copa Del Rey · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo

Navalcarnero

DWWDD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Real Betis

WLWDW

Navalcarnero vs Real Betis prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Betis to win70% · @1.14
Double chanceReal Betis or draw90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.30

Win chances

Navalcarnero10%fair 9.59 · @15.00
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @8.00
Real Betis70%fair 1.42 · @1.14
3.84Expected goals
1.09Navalcarnero xG
2.75Real Betis xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
0–37%
1–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.1 – 2.8 Real Betis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Real Betis travel as clear favourites – 70% to win, against 10% for Navalcarnero.

Navalcarnero have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Real Betis have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.8 goals (1.1 for Navalcarnero, 2.8 for Real Betis). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%).

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.91 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Betis to win70%1.421.14
Double chanceReal Betis or draw90%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals89%1.121.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals74%1.361.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals54%1.871.73
Half-time resultReal Betis ahead at half-time54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Betis / FT Real Betis50%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.30–

Form

Navalcarnero – last 6

DWWDDD
8 Nov@ Guadalajara2–2D
1 Novvs Atlético Paso3–1W
24 Oct@ Numancia3–2W
18 Oct@ Salamanca UDS1–1D
14 Oct@ Recreativo Huelva2–2D
11 Octvs A Madrid III1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Betis – last 6

WLWDWL
8 Nov@ Elche2–0W
4 Nov@ Borussia Dortmund1–2L
31 Octvs Malaga2–1W
25 Oct@ Celta Vigo0–0D
21 Octvs Feyenoord1–0W
17 Octvs Barcelona2–5L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Real Betis.

More Copa Del Rey predictions

Calvo Sotelo Albacete 172261 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 Tarancón Levante 71974 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.29

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Real Betis?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Real Betis?

On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Betis 70%.

How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Real Betis?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Navalcarnero vs Real Betis?

Navalcarnero vs Real Betis (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.