Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud preview and prediction
The match
Plaza Colonia host Juventud in the Copa Uruguay on Thursday 8 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Form guide
Plaza Colonia's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Cerrito 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Juventud's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Boston River 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Plaza Colonia and 1.1 for Juventud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plaza Colonia 39%, draw 26%, Juventud 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Plaza Colonia to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Plaza Colonia 1–1 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plaza Colonia39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Juventud35%fair 2.84 · @2.30
2.33Expected goals
1.20Plaza Colonia xG
1.13Juventud xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.2 – 1.1 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
39%
2.56
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Plaza Colonia – last 6
LWDDLW
4 Oct
vs Cerrito
1–3
L
30 Sep
@ Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Atenas
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Rentistas
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juventud – last 6
DDWLWD
4 Oct
@ Boston River
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Cerro
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Racing Montevideo
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Danubio
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plaza Colonia and Juventud.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventud 35%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
