Cup · Belgium
Excelsior Virton vs Genk prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.0 – 2.0 Genk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Genk travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 17% for Excelsior Virton.
Excelsior Virton have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Genk have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 for Excelsior Virton, 2.0 for Genk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Genk to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Genk or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Genk ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Genk / FT Genk ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✓ | 10% | 9.85 | – |
Form
Excelsior Virton – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Sporting Hasselt | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Oostkamp | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Lokeren-Temse | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs KRC Genk II | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Francs Borains | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ RSC Anderlecht II | 1–0 | W |
Genk – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Kortrijk | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Fortuna Sittard | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Club Brugge KV | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Gent | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Anderlecht | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs SK Beveren | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and Genk.
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Seraing United0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Genk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Genk?
On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genk 61%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Genk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Excelsior Virton vs Genk?
Excelsior Virton vs Genk (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.