Gamma Ethniki Group 10 · GreeceAE Neapolis vs Atsalenios prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AE Neapolis 0.7 – 1.2 Atsalenios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atsalenios shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 27% for AE Neapolis.
Atsalenios have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.7 for AE Neapolis, 1.2 for Atsalenios). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atsalenios to win ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atsalenios / FT Atsalenios ✓ | 27% | 3.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 17% | 5.79 | – |
Form
AE Neapolis
No recent results on record.
Atsalenios – last 6
| 8 Apr | vs Ilisiakos | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Chaidari | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Apr | vs Graniths Agias Marinas | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | vs Giouchtas | 4–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | vs Ethnikos Piraeus | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | @ Ionikos | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AE Neapolis and Atsalenios.
Gamma Ethniki Group 10 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kissamikos | 7 | +15 | 17 |
| 2 |  Rethymniakos | 7 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 |  Giouchtas | 7 | +11 | 13 |
| 4 |  Atsalenios | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Agios Nikolaos | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Tympaki | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Ergotelis | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Episkopi | 7 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 |  Panakrotiriakos | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 10 |  Chersonissos | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 11 |  Platanias | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 |  AE Neapolis | 7 | -16 | 1 |
More Gamma Ethniki Group 10 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios?
On our numbers AE Neapolis have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atsalenios 51%.
How many goals will there be in AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
When is AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios?
AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios (Gamma Ethniki Group 10) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.