Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma prediction & analysis
CD Marathon to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.7 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CD Marathon are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 10% for Atlético Choloma.
CD Marathon have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Atlético Choloma have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.2 for CD Marathon, 0.7 for Atlético Choloma). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 60%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, CD Marathon have won 1, Atlético Choloma have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.7 goals per game.
Our pick is CD Marathon to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CD Marathon to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | CD Marathon or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.72 |
| Half-time result | CD Marathon ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.22 | – |
Form
CD Marathon – last 6
| 6 Nov | vs Platense FC | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Nov | @ CD Motagua | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Alianza | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Atletico Independiente | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Alianza | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Olancho | 2–1 | W |
Atlético Choloma – last 6
| 6 Nov | vs Atletico Independiente | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Nov | vs CD Olimpia | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Génesis | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Juticalpa | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ CD Motagua | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Estrella Roja | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 2026 | Atlético Choloma v CD Marathon | 0–1 |
| 1 May 2026 | CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma | 0–1 |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Atlético Choloma v CD Marathon | 0–0 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
Atletico Independiente1
Real Espana1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
67%@1.39
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Choloma 10%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.