Liga Nacional · Honduras

Atletico Independiente

DLDLD
1–1
FT

Real Espana

DWWLW

Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Espana to win ✗59% · @1.63
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.55

Win chances

Atletico Independiente17%fair 6.04 · @4.72
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.54
Real Espana59%fair 1.68 · @1.63
2.78Expected goals
0.90Atletico Independiente xG
1.88Real Espana xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%

From our goals model: Atletico Independiente 0.9 – 1.9 Real Espana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Real Espana shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 17% for Atletico Independiente.

Atletico Independiente have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 per game. Real Espana have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Real Espana come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Atletico Independiente, 1.9 for Real Espana). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Atletico Independiente have won 0, Real Espana have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.39 is close to our fair price of 1.48.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✗59%1.681.63
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.39
Half-time resultReal Espana ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.55–

Form

Atletico Independiente – last 6

DLDLDL
6 Nov@ Atlético Choloma0–0D
31 Oct@ Estrella Roja1–3L
25 Octvs CD Marathon2–2D
18 Octvs Lobos Upnfm0–4L
12 Oct@ Olancho1–1D
21 Sep@ CD Olimpia0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Espana – last 6

DWWLWW
5 Nov@ Génesis1–1D
1 Novvs Juticalpa3–1W
25 Octvs Platense FC4–3W
16 Oct@ CD Olimpia1–2L
11 Oct@ Estrella Roja1–0W
20 Sepvs CD Motagua1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Real Espana v Atletico Independiente1–1

More Liga Nacional predictions

FT CD Marathon2 Atlético Choloma0 731710 1CD Marathon to win 73%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?

On our numbers Atletico Independiente have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Espana 59%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana?

Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.