Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Excelsior

Platense FC

LLLLW
2–4
FT

Génesis

DLLLL

Platense FC vs Génesis prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGénesis to win ✓43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Win chances

Platense FC34%fair 2.95 · @2.97
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.93
Génesis43%fair 2.34 · @2.32
2.82Expected goals
1.31Platense FC xG
1.51Génesis xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Platense FC 1.3 – 1.5 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Génesis shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 34% for Platense FC.

Platense FC have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.7 per game. Génesis have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Platense FC, 1.5 for Génesis). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 3 meetings, Platense FC have won 0, Génesis have won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGénesis to win ✓43%2.342.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.66
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.87
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Génesis / FT Génesis ✓25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%11.11–

Form

Platense FC – last 6

LLLLWL
6 Nov@ CD Marathon1–3L
1 Nov@ Olancho1–4L
25 Oct@ Real Espana3–4L
17 Octvs CD Motagua0–2L
9 Octvs Juticalpa2–1W
18 Sepvs Lobos Upnfm0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Génesis – last 6

DLLLLD
5 Novvs Real Espana1–1D
31 Oct@ Lobos Upnfm3–4L
24 Oct@ Atlético Choloma1–3L
18 Octvs Estrella Roja1–2L
10 Octvs CD Olimpia0–1L
19 Sepvs Olancho0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Génesis v Platense FC3–0
8 Apr 2026Platense FC v Génesis0–1
15 Feb 2026Génesis v Platense FC2–2

More Liga Nacional predictions

FT Lobos Upnfm1 CD Motagua0 162460 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.21 ✗ FT CD Olimpia1 Olancho1 652411 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.46 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Platense FC vs Génesis?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Platense FC vs Génesis?

On our numbers Platense FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Génesis 43%.

How many goals will there be in Platense FC vs Génesis?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Platense FC vs Génesis?

Platense FC vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Excelsior.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.