David Kipiani Cup · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium
Gagra vs Rustavi prediction & analysis
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Gagra to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gagra 1.2 – 1.4 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rustavi shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Gagra.
Gagra have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Rustavi have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Rustavi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Gagra, 1.4 for Rustavi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Gagra have won 1, Rustavi have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Either team to win at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, Gagra to win at 3.50 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rustavi to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rustavi / FT Rustavi ✗ | 25% | 4.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.02 | – |
Form
Gagra – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Spaeri | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Dinamo Batumi | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Samgurali | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Meshakhte | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Torpedo Kutaisi | 1–1 | D |
Rustavi – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Dinamo Tbilisi | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Torpedo Kutaisi | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Dila | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Samtredia | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs FC Iberia 1999 | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Meshakhte | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Aug 2026 | Rustavi v Gagra | 3–0 |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Rustavi v Gagra | 1–2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Gagra vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Gagra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rustavi 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra vs Rustavi (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.