Premier League · Lebanon

Tadamon Sour

LWWDW
3–4
FT

Al Ansar

DLWWW

Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultAl Ansar to win ✓72% · @1.37
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✓92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.01
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.43

Win chances

Tadamon Sour8%fair 11.98 · @7.41
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.10
Al Ansar72%fair 1.40 · @1.37
2.93Expected goals
0.68Tadamon Sour xG
2.25Al Ansar xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Tadamon Sour 0.7 – 2.2 Al Ansar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Al Ansar travel as clear favourites – 72% to win, against 8% for Tadamon Sour.

Tadamon Sour have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Al Ansar have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.9 goals (0.7 for Tadamon Sour, 2.2 for Al Ansar). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 0–3 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Tadamon Sour have won 0, Al Ansar have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.01 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ansar to win ✓72%1.401.37
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✓92%1.091.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.01 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.481.32
Half-time resultAl Ansar ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ansar / FT Al Ansar ✓49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13%7.43–

Form

Tadamon Sour – last 6

LWWDWL
30 Octvs Safa0–2L
23 Oct@ Tripoli SC2–1W
17 Octvs Al Akhaa Al Ahli4–1W
12 Oct@ Al Nejmeh3–3D
8 Oct@ Shabab Al Sahel1–0W
29 Jul@ Reyady Abaseya1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Al Ansar – last 6

DLWWWW
31 Oct@ Al Akhaa Al Ahli1–1D
23 Oct@ Ahal1–2L
20 Oct@ Paro2–1W
17 Octvs Al Ittihad2–0W
8 Octvs Al Hikma2–1W
2 Aug@ Al Nejmeh2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Tadamon Sour v Al Ansar0–3

More Premier League predictions

FT Al Ahed0 Al Nejmeh2 142660 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

On our numbers Tadamon Sour have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ansar 72%.

How many goals will there be in Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.