Premier League · Jamaica · Ferdi Neita Sports ComplexPortmore United vs Humble Lions prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Portmore United 3.0 – 1.0 Humble Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Portmore United are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 9% for Humble Lions.
Portmore United have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Humble Lions have 0 points from their last 2 (0W 0D 2L), averaging 0.0 scored and 4.0 conceded. Portmore United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (3.0 for Portmore United, 1.0 for Humble Lions). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Portmore United to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | Portmore United or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Portmore United ahead at half-time ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Portmore United / FT Portmore United ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.01 | – |
Form
Portmore United – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Cibao | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs Mount Pleasant Academy | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Cavalier | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Aug | vs Salcedo | 1–2 | L |
| 21 May | @ Mount Pleasant Academy | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | vs Mount Pleasant Academy | 0–1 | L |
Humble Lions – last 2
| 21 Sep | vs Waterhouse | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Tivoli Gardens | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portmore United and Humble Lions.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tru-Juice | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 |  Waterhouse | 8 | +16 | 18 |
| 3 |  Racing United | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Montego Bay United | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mount Pleasant Academy | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Tivoli Gardens | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  Arnett Gardens | 8 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Portmore United | 7 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Cavalier | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Chapelton | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Dunbeholden | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 |  Molynes United | 9 | -11 | 7 |
| 13 |  Treasure Beach | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Humble Lions | 8 | -19 | 2 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portmore United vs Humble Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Portmore United vs Humble Lions?
On our numbers Portmore United have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Humble Lions 9%.
How many goals will there be in Portmore United vs Humble Lions?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Portmore United vs Humble Lions?
Portmore United vs Humble Lions (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Ferdi Neita Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.