Azadegan League · Iran
Saipa
Havadar
Saipa vs Havadar prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Saipa 1.3 – 0.3 Havadar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Saipa are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 10% for Havadar.
Saipa have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Havadar have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.6 goals (1.3 for Saipa, 0.3 for Havadar). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (27%), 0–0 (20%), 2–0 (18%).
In their last 1 meeting, Saipa have won 0, Havadar have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.32.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Saipa to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.51 |
| Double chance | Saipa or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.18 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Saipa / FT Saipa ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 27% | 3.72 | – |
Form
Saipa – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Be'sat Kermanshah | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Naft Gachsaran | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Naft Masjed Soleyman | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Shahin Bandar Ameri | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Niroye Zamini | 2–1 | W |
Havadar – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Mes Soongoun | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | @ Fard Alborz | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | vs Novin Ahvaz | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ Naft Bandar Abbas | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Oct | vs Pars Jonoubi JAM | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | @ Ario Eslamshahr | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 9 Jun 2026 | Saipa v Havadar | 0–0 |
More Azadegan League predictions
Mes Soongoun2
Naft Gachsaran1
1Mes Soongoun to win
60%@1.94
✓
FT
Novin Ahvaz0
Ario Eslamshahr0
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
64%@1.46
✓
FT
Pars Jonoubi JAM4
Naft Bandar Abbas1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
65%@1.52
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Saipa vs Havadar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Saipa vs Havadar?
On our numbers Saipa have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Havadar 10%.
How many goals will there be in Saipa vs Havadar?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
When is Saipa vs Havadar?
Saipa vs Havadar (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.