Azadegan League · Iran
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Mes Rafsanjan
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Rafsanjan prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 0.7 – 0.8 Mes Rafsanjan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Mes Rafsanjan on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.3 per game. Mes Rafsanjan have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
We expect around 1.5 goals (0.7 for Shenavarsazi Qeshm, 0.8 for Mes Rafsanjan). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (21%), 0–1 (18%), 1–0 (15%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mes Rafsanjan to win ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.59 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.01 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw | 29% | 3.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 18% | 5.71 | – |
Form
Shenavarsazi Qeshm – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Shahin Bandar Ameri | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | @ Niroye Zamini | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Mes Kerman | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Saipa | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Mes Soongoun | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Fard Alborz | 0–0 | D |
Mes Rafsanjan – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Pars Jonoubi JAM | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ Naft Bandar Abbas | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Niroye Zamini | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Mes Kerman | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Oct | vs Ario Eslamshahr | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Be'sat Kermanshah | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Mes Rafsanjan.
More Azadegan League predictions
Fard Alborz4
Be'sat Kermanshah1
1Fard Alborz to win
67%@1.44
✓
FT
Mes Kerman2
Naft Masjed Soleyman1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
70%@1.31
✗
FT
Niroye Zamini1
Shahin Bandar Ameri2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
64%@1.43
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Rafsanjan?
On our numbers Shenavarsazi Qeshm have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mes Rafsanjan 39%.
How many goals will there be in Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Rafsanjan?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Rafsanjan (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.