Azadegan League · Iran
Mes Kerman
Naft Masjed Soleyman
Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.31 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Naft Masjed Soleyman to win @ 2.67 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mes Kerman 0.9 – 1.0 Naft Masjed Soleyman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Naft Masjed Soleyman shade it despite being away from home – 41% to win, against 33% for Mes Kerman.
Mes Kerman have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Naft Masjed Soleyman have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Naft Masjed Soleyman come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.9 for Mes Kerman, 1.0 for Naft Masjed Soleyman). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.31 is close to our fair price of 1.44. For a bigger price, Naft Masjed Soleyman to win at 2.67 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Naft Masjed Soleyman to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.49 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 23% | 4.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.65 | – |
Form
Mes Kerman – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Naft Gachsaran | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | vs Shahin Bandar Ameri | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Mes Rafsanjan | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Oct | @ Niroye Zamini | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | @ Mes Soongoun | 1–1 | D |
Naft Masjed Soleyman – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Niroye Zamini | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Mes Soongoun | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Saipa | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Novin Ahvaz | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Fard Alborz | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ Pars Jonoubi JAM | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Kerman and Naft Masjed Soleyman.
More Azadegan League predictions
Fard Alborz4
Be'sat Kermanshah1
1Fard Alborz to win
67%@1.44
✓
FT
Niroye Zamini1
Shahin Bandar Ameri2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
64%@1.43
✓
FT
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1
Mes Rafsanjan0
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
75%@1.28
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?
On our numbers Mes Kerman have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Naft Masjed Soleyman 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?
Mes Kerman vs Naft Masjed Soleyman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.