Australian Championship · Australia · Darcy Street

South Hobart

LLWWD
2–4
FT

Lions

WWLLW

South Hobart vs Lions prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLions to win ✓63% · @1.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Win chances

South Hobart21%fair 4.87 · @6.00
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @5.00
Lions63%fair 1.58 · @1.33
3.34Expected goals
1.14South Hobart xG
2.20Lions xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: South Hobart 1.1 – 2.2 Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Lions travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 21% for South Hobart.

South Hobart have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Lions have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Lions come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.3 goals (1.1 for South Hobart, 2.2 for Lions). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, South Hobart have won 1, Lions have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.54.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLions to win ✓63%1.581.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.83
Half-time resultLions ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lions / FT Lions ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Form

South Hobart – last 6

LLWWDL
31 Octvs Preston Lions1–2L
25 Oct@ Wollongong Wolves0–2L
18 Oct@ Lions2–1W
5 Sepvs Devonport City5–1W
29 Augvs Kingborough Lions2–2D
23 Augvs Devonport City0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lions – last 6

WWLLWW
31 Oct@ Wollongong Wolves3–1W
22 Octvs Preston Lions2–1W
18 Octvs South Hobart1–2L
15 Sep@ South Melbourne1–3L
12 Sepvs Peninsula Power1–0W
30 Augvs Peninsula Power4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026Lions v South Hobart1–2

More Australian Championship predictions

FT Avondale2 Adelaide City1 662114 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Hobart vs Lions?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win South Hobart vs Lions?

On our numbers South Hobart have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lions 63%.

How many goals will there be in South Hobart vs Lions?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

When is South Hobart vs Lions?

South Hobart vs Lions (Australian Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Darcy Street.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.