Australian Championship · Australia · Avenger park
Avondale
Adelaide City
Avondale vs Adelaide City prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avondale 2.8 – 1.3 Adelaide City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Avondale are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 14% for Adelaide City.
Avondale have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Adelaide City have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 4.1 goals (2.8 for Avondale, 1.3 for Adelaide City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (6%).
In their last 1 meeting, Avondale have won 0, Adelaide City have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is better than our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avondale to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Avondale or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| Half-time result | Avondale ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avondale / FT Avondale ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.76 | – |
Form
Avondale – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Wests APIA | 2–5 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Broadmeadow Magic | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Adelaide City | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Oakleigh Cannons | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Hume City | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Preston Lions | 2–0 | W |
Adelaide City – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Broadmeadow Magic | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Wests APIA | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Avondale | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs West Torrens Birkalla | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Playford City Patriots | 6–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Playford City Patriots | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Oct 2026 | Adelaide City v Avondale | 2–2 |
More Australian Championship predictions
South Hobart2
Lions4
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.57
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Adelaide City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Avondale vs Adelaide City?
On our numbers Avondale have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Adelaide City 14%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Adelaide City?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Avondale vs Adelaide City?
Avondale vs Adelaide City (Australian Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.