Bonaire
Cuba
Bonaire vs Cuba prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.32
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bonaire 1.0 – 2.7 Cuba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cuba travel as clear favourites – 72% to win, against 11% for Bonaire.
Bonaire have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Cuba have 9 points from their last 5 (2W 3D 0L), averaging 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Cuba come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.0 for Bonaire, 2.7 for Cuba). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bonaire have won 0, Cuba have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.32 is close to our fair price of 1.43. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cuba to win | 72% | 1.39 | 1.04 |
| Double chance | Cuba or draw | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Half-time result | Cuba ahead at half-time | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cuba / FT Cuba | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 10.97 | – |
Form
Bonaire – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Grenada | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Grenada | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | @ Cuba | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs St. Kitts and Nevis | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | vs Saint Martin | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs St. Vincent Grenadines | 3–1 | W |
Cuba – last 5
| 5 Oct | vs St. Kitts and Nevis | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ St. Kitts and Nevis | 3–3 | D |
| 28 Sep | vs Bonaire | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Grenada | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | @ Martinique | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 28 Sep 2026 | Cuba v Bonaire | 2–0 |
More CONCACAF Nations League predictions
Barbados
Guadeloupe
2Guadeloupe to win
58%@1.91
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bonaire vs Cuba?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Bonaire vs Cuba?
On our numbers Bonaire have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cuba 72%.
How many goals will there be in Bonaire vs Cuba?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Bonaire vs Cuba?
Bonaire vs Cuba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Polar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.