Barbados
Guadeloupe
Barbados vs Guadeloupe prediction & analysis
Guadeloupe to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.91
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barbados 1.1 – 1.9 Guadeloupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Guadeloupe shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 24% for Barbados.
Barbados have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Guadeloupe have 4 points from their last 4 (1W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Barbados come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.1 for Barbados, 1.9 for Guadeloupe). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Barbados have won 0, Guadeloupe have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Guadeloupe to win at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Guadeloupe to win | 58% | 1.74 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Guadeloupe ahead at half-time | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Guadeloupe / FT Guadeloupe | 35% | 2.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 10% | 10.15 | – |
Form
Barbados – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Bermuda | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Bermuda | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ Guadeloupe | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs St. Lucia | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs St. Vincent Grenadines | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Saint Martin | 1–3 | L |
Guadeloupe – last 4
| 5 Oct | vs St. Lucia | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ St. Lucia | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Barbados | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Bermuda | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Sep 2026 | Guadeloupe v Barbados | 2–2 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Our pick is Guadeloupe to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
On our numbers Barbados have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guadeloupe 58%.
How many goals will there be in Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Barbados vs Guadeloupe (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Roger Zami.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.