Singida Black Stars vs Tusker prediction & analysis
Singida Black Stars or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Singida Black Stars to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Singida Black Stars 2.1 – 0.9 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Singida Black Stars are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for Tusker.
Singida Black Stars have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Tusker have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Singida Black Stars, 0.9 for Tusker). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Singida Black Stars have won 1, Tusker have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Singida Black Stars or draw at a 88% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Singida Black Stars to win at 1.85 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Singida Black Stars to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Singida Black Stars or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.20 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Singida Black Stars ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Singida Black Stars / FT Singida Black Stars ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.80 | – |
Form
Singida Black Stars – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Tusker | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Coastal Union | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ Dodoma Jiji | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Al-Ghazal | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Mashujaa | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Al-Ghazal | 7–1 | W |
Tusker – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Singida Black Stars | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Ulinzi Stars | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Mara Sugar | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Al Ahli Wad Medani | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Al Ahli Wad Medani | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs KVZ | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tusker v Singida Black Stars | 0–1 |
CAF Confederation Cup table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CR Belouizdad | 6 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Otôho d'Oyo | 6 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Singida Black Stars | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 |  Stellenbosch | 6 | -7 | 5 |
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Korhogo1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Singida Black Stars vs Tusker?
Our pick is Singida Black Stars or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Singida Black Stars vs Tusker?
On our numbers Singida Black Stars have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tusker 12%.
How many goals will there be in Singida Black Stars vs Tusker?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Singida Black Stars vs Tusker?
Singida Black Stars vs Tusker (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Airtel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.