Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.04 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 0.4 – 0.9 Wiliete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Wiliete travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 28% for Mamelodi Sundowns.
Mamelodi Sundowns have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Wiliete have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
We expect around 1.3 goals (0.4 for Mamelodi Sundowns, 0.9 for Wiliete). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 87% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (29%), 0–1 (26%), 0–2 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Mamelodi Sundowns have won 0, Wiliete have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 96% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Wiliete to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 34% | 2.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 26% | 3.91 | – |
Form
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Wiliete | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Richards Bay | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Orlando Pirates | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Chippa United | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Siwelele | 3–0 | W |
Wiliete – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Mamelodi Sundowns | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Kabuscorp | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Recreativo do Libolo | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs FC Luanda | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Foresters | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Foresters | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Oct 2026 | Wiliete v Mamelodi Sundowns | 0–0 |
CAF Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Hilal Omdurman | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 2 |  Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  MC Alger | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Saint Eloi Lupopo | 6 | -4 | 5 |
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Enugu Rangers0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 96% chance.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Wiliete 61%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.