Primera Division · NicaraguaUNAN Managua vs Real Estelí prediction & analysis
Real Estelí to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: UNAN Managua 0.7 – 1.6 Real Estelí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Estelí travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 17% for UNAN Managua.
UNAN Managua have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Real Estelí have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. UNAN Managua come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.7 for UNAN Managua, 1.6 for Real Estelí). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, UNAN Managua have won 0, Real Estelí have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Real Estelí to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Estelí to win ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Real Estelí or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí ✗ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.11 | – |
Form
UNAN Managua – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ H&H Export | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Matagalpa | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Managua | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | @ Walter Ferretti | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Jalapa | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | @ San Marcos | 1–0 | W |
Real Estelí – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Managua | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Rancho Santana | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sep | vs San Marcos | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ H&H Export | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | @ CD Marathon | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Diriangén | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Real Estelí v UNAN Managua | 1–1 |
| 2 Mar 2026 | UNAN Managua v Real Estelí | 0–3 |
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 16 | +34 | 41 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 16 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Walter Ferretti | 16 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 16 | -12 | 20 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Jalapa | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 16 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 |  Matagalpa | 16 | -27 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
Our pick is Real Estelí to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Estelí 61%.
How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.