Primera Division · Nicaragua · Estadio Olimpico del IND ManaguaWalter Ferretti vs Jalapa prediction & analysis
Walter Ferretti or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Walter Ferretti to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Walter Ferretti 1.9 – 0.7 Jalapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Walter Ferretti are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 13% for Jalapa.
Walter Ferretti have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Jalapa have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Walter Ferretti, 0.7 for Jalapa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Walter Ferretti have won 0, Jalapa have won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Walter Ferretti or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Walter Ferretti to win at 1.70 is our value angle (67% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Walter Ferretti to win ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Walter Ferretti or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Walter Ferretti ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Walter Ferretti / FT Walter Ferretti ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.89 | – |
Form
Walter Ferretti – last 6
| 7 Sep | vs Managua | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ H&H Export | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ San Marcos | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs UNAN Managua | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Rancho Santana | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Real Estelí | 1–4 | L |
Jalapa – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ San Marcos | 1–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Rancho Santana | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Diriangén | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Matagalpa | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | @ UNAN Managua | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs H&H Export | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Jalapa v Walter Ferretti | 1–0 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Jalapa v Walter Ferretti | 3–0 |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Walter Ferretti v Jalapa | 0–0 |
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 16 | +34 | 41 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 16 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Walter Ferretti | 16 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 16 | -12 | 20 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Jalapa | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 16 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 |  Matagalpa | 16 | -27 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
Our pick is Walter Ferretti or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
On our numbers Walter Ferretti have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jalapa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico del IND Managua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.