Queensland NPL · Australia · Lions Stadium
Lions vs Peninsula Power prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lions 2.3 – 1.3 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lions hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 21% for Peninsula Power.
Lions have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Peninsula Power have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded. Lions come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 for Lions, 1.3 for Peninsula Power). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
In their last 3 meetings, Lions have won 2, Peninsula Power have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lions to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time result | Lions ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lions / FT Lions ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.72 | – |
Form
Lions – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Peninsula Power | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs North Sunshine Eagles | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Moreton City Excelsior | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | vs Melbourne City | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Brisbane Roar II | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Peninsula Power | 1–0 | W |
Peninsula Power – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Moreton City Excelsior | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Lions | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Brisbane City | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Gold Coast Knights | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Lions | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Moreton City Excelsior | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 30 Aug 2026 | Lions v Peninsula Power | 4–1 |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Lions v Peninsula Power | 1–0 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Peninsula Power v Lions | 3–2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Lions vs Peninsula Power?
On our numbers Lions have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peninsula Power 21%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Peninsula Power?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Lions vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.