Cup · Lithuania
Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Minija 1.8 – 2.1 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kauno Žalgiris shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 34% for Minija.
Minija have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Kauno Žalgiris have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.8 goals (1.8 for Minija, 2.1 for Kauno Žalgiris). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kauno Žalgiris to win ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | 5.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time result | Kauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✓ | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.29 | – |
Form
Minija – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Kauno Žalgiris II | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Dainava | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Transinvest 2 | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Dainava | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ FA Šiauliai II | 2–1 | W |
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Šiauliai | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Panevėžys | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Suduva Marijampole | 5–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Džiugas Telšiai | 5–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Šiauliai | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Kauno Žalgiris.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Minija have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kauno Žalgiris 45%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Minija vs Kauno Žalgiris (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.