Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Misael DelgadoCarabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC prediction & analysis
Carabobo FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Carabobo FC 1.7 – 0.8 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Carabobo FC hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 16% for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Carabobo FC have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Estudiantes de Merida FC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Carabobo FC, 0.8 for Estudiantes de Merida FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 3 meetings, Carabobo FC have won 2, Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
Our pick is Carabobo FC to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.69.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Carabobo FC to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Carabobo FC or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Carabobo FC ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.20 | – |
Form
Carabobo FC – last 6
| 3 Sep | @ Rayo Zuliano | 3–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Zamora FC | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Caracas FC | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | vs Metropolitanos FC | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Aug | vs Trujillanos FC | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Portuguesa FC | 0–1 | L |
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6
| 3 Sep | vs UCV | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Deportivo La Guaira | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Puerto Cabello | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Anzoátegui FC | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | @ Rayo Zuliano | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Aug | vs Zamora FC | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC | 0–2 |
| 14 May 2026 | Carabobo FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC | 1–0 |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC | 3–2 |
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metropolitanos FC | 26 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | +13 | 44 |
| 4 |  Carabobo FC | 26 | +14 | 41 |
| 5 |  Puerto Cabello | 26 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Portuguesa FC | 26 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 |  UCV | 26 | +2 | 39 |
| 8 |  Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Caracas FC | 26 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 |  Monagas SC | 26 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 |  Zamora FC | 26 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 |  Rayo Zuliano | 26 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 |  Trujillanos FC | 26 | -23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Anzoátegui FC | 26 | -24 | 17 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Carabobo FC to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Misael Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.