Veikkausliiga · Finland · Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki

WWDWW
3–3
FT

AC Oulu

WDWWL

HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.26Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✗72% · @1.15
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.12

Win chances

HJK Helsinki72%fair 1.39 · @1.15
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @8.00
AC Oulu13%fair 7.78 · @12.00
3.26Expected goals
2.39HJK Helsinki xG
0.87AC Oulu xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 2.4 – 0.9 AC Oulu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

HJK Helsinki are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 13% for AC Oulu.

HJK Helsinki have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. AC Oulu have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.3 goals (2.4 for HJK Helsinki, 0.9 for AC Oulu). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, HJK Helsinki have won 2, AC Oulu have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.48.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHJK Helsinki to win ✗72%1.391.15
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓87%1.151.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.04
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.26
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.871.95
Half-time resultHJK Helsinki ahead at half-time ✗52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.12–

Form

HJK Helsinki – last 6

WWDWWW
2 Nov@ VPS4–0W
29 Oct@ Inter Turku4–2W
25 Octvs KuPS2–2D
17 Octvs Gnistan4–0W
12 Oct@ AC Oulu4–3W
8 Octvs VPS6–0W
4.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

AC Oulu – last 6

WDWWLW
1 Novvs KuPS2–0W
28 Octvs VPS0–0D
24 Oct@ Gnistan4–3W
17 Oct@ Inter Turku2–1W
12 Octvs HJK Helsinki3–4L
8 Oct@ KuPS1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Oct 2026AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki3–4
9 Aug 2026AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki0–1

More Veikkausliiga predictions

FT Gnistan5 VPS1 422137 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.63 ✗ FT KuPS0 Inter Turku2 192260 X2Inter Turku or draw 81%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?

On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 15% and AC Oulu 13%.

How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?

HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.