Veikkausliiga · Finland · Markku.fi Areena
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan vs VPS prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗
Value bet: VPS to win @ 2.93 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.5 – 1.4 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gnistan and VPS on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gnistan have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.3 per game. VPS have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Gnistan, 1.4 for VPS). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Gnistan have won 0, VPS have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.63 is close to our fair price of 1.62. For a bigger price, VPS to win at 2.93 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gnistan to win ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | 2.11 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.63 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gnistan / FT Gnistan ✓ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.51 | – |
Form
Gnistan – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Inter Turku | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ KuPS | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs AC Oulu | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ HJK Helsinki | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ VPS | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Inter Turku | 0–0 | D |
VPS – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs HJK Helsinki | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ AC Oulu | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ KuPS | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Gnistan | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ HJK Helsinki | 0–6 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Oct 2026 | VPS v Gnistan | 1–0 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Gnistan v VPS | 1–1 |
More Veikkausliiga predictions
HJK Helsinki3
AC Oulu3
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
68%@1.26
✓
FT
KuPS0
Inter Turku2
X2Inter Turku or draw
81%@1.24
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gnistan vs VPS?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Gnistan vs VPS?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VPS 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs VPS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Gnistan vs VPS?
Gnistan vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.