Veikkausliiga · Finland · OTC StadionAC Oulu vs KuPS prediction & analysis
KuPS or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: KuPS to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AC Oulu 0.7 – 1.8 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
KuPS travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 12% for AC Oulu.
AC Oulu have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. KuPS have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. AC Oulu come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for AC Oulu, 1.8 for KuPS). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, AC Oulu have won 1, KuPS have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is KuPS or draw at a 88% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, KuPS to win at 1.80 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | KuPS to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | KuPS or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | KuPS ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT KuPS / FT KuPS ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.64 | – |
Form
AC Oulu – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs VPS | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Gnistan | 4–3 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Inter Turku | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs HJK Helsinki | 3–4 | L |
| 8 Oct | @ KuPS | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
KuPS – last 6
| 29 Oct | vs Gnistan | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ HJK Helsinki | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | @ Borac Banja Luka | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs VPS | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Trabzonspor | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 8 Oct 2026 | KuPS v AC Oulu | 0–1 |
| 22 Apr 2026 | KuPS v AC Oulu | 3–2 |
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | -26 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AC Oulu vs KuPS?
Our pick is KuPS or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Oulu vs KuPS?
On our numbers AC Oulu have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and KuPS 62%.
How many goals will there be in AC Oulu vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is AC Oulu vs KuPS?
AC Oulu vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at OTC Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.