Veikkausliiga · Finland · Savon Sanomat AreenaKuPS vs Gnistan prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: KuPS 1.9 – 0.8 Gnistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
KuPS are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Gnistan.
KuPS have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Gnistan have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for KuPS, 0.8 for Gnistan). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, KuPS have won 1, Gnistan have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | KuPS to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | KuPS or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | KuPS ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT KuPS / FT KuPS ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.04 | – |
Form
KuPS – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ HJK Helsinki | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | @ Borac Banja Luka | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs VPS | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Trabzonspor | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs AC Oulu | 0–1 | L |
Gnistan – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs AC Oulu | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ HJK Helsinki | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ VPS | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Inter Turku | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs HJK Helsinki | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ AC Oulu | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 8 Sep 2026 | Gnistan v KuPS | 1–1 |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Gnistan v KuPS | 0–1 |
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | -26 | 14 |
More Veikkausliiga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for KuPS vs Gnistan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win KuPS vs Gnistan?
On our numbers KuPS have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gnistan 16%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Gnistan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is KuPS vs Gnistan?
KuPS vs Gnistan (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Savon Sanomat Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.