Veikkausliiga · Finland · Savon Sanomat AreenaKuPS vs AC Oulu prediction & analysis
KuPS to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: KuPS 1.8 – 0.6 AC Oulu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
KuPS are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for AC Oulu.
KuPS have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. AC Oulu have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. KuPS come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for KuPS, 0.6 for AC Oulu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, KuPS have won 1, AC Oulu have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is KuPS to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | KuPS to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | KuPS or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | KuPS ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT KuPS / FT KuPS ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.19 | – |
Form
KuPS – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ VPS | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs HJK Helsinki | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Gnistan | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Shamrock Rovers | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Mariehamn | 2–4 | L |
AC Oulu – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Gnistan | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ VPS | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs SJK | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ FF Jaro | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Inter Turku | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Apr 2026 | KuPS v AC Oulu | 3–2 |
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | -26 | 14 |
More Veikkausliiga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for KuPS vs AC Oulu?
Our pick is KuPS to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win KuPS vs AC Oulu?
On our numbers KuPS have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Oulu 12%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs AC Oulu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is KuPS vs AC Oulu?
KuPS vs AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Savon Sanomat Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.