Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park
Avondale vs Preston Lions prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avondale 1.5 – 1.6 Preston Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Avondale and Preston Lions on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Avondale have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Preston Lions have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Avondale, 1.6 for Preston Lions). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Avondale have won 0, Preston Lions have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Preston Lions to win ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions ✗ | 23% | 4.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.70 | – |
Form
Avondale – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Hume City | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Altona Magic | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Sunshine Georgies | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Heidelberg United | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Melbourne City II | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs St. Albans Saints | 1–1 | D |
Preston Lions – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Altona Magic | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | vs South Melbourne | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Dandenong City | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | vs Melbourne City II | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Dandenong Thunder | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Brunswick Juventus FC | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 4 Jul 2026 | Avondale v Preston Lions | 2–3 |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Preston Lions v Avondale | 2–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Preston Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Avondale vs Preston Lions?
On our numbers Avondale have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Preston Lions 40%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Preston Lions?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Avondale vs Preston Lions?
Avondale vs Preston Lions (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.