Cup · Ukraine · Kolos Stadium
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kolos Kovalivka 1.2 – 1.3 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Kolos Kovalivka have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Karpaty have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Karpaty come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Kolos Kovalivka, 1.3 for Karpaty). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Kolos Kovalivka have won 1, Karpaty have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Karpaty to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.26 | – |
Form
Kolos Kovalivka – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Karpaty | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Kryvbas KR | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Obolon'-Brovar | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ UCSA | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Zorya Luhansk | 0–2 | L |
Karpaty – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Kolos Kovalivka | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Shakhtar Donetsk | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Livyi Bereh | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Obolon'-Brovar | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Bukovyna | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | vs LNZ Cherkasy | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Sep 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka v Karpaty | 0–2 |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Karpaty v Kolos Kovalivka | 0–1 |
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LNZ Cherkasy0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Kolos Kovalivka have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Karpaty 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.