Italy U19 vs Romania U19 prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Italy U19 2.6 – 1.0 Romania U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Italy U19 are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 11% for Romania U19.
Italy U19 have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Romania U19 have 4 points from their last 4 (1W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.6 for Italy U19, 1.0 for Romania U19). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Italy U19 to win | 70% | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Italy U19 or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 55% | 1.80 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.98 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Italy U19 ahead at half-time | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Italy U19 / FT Italy U19 | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 10% | 10.47 | – |
Form
Italy U19 – last 6
| 1 Oct | @ Croatia U19 | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Jul | @ Denmark U19 | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Jul | @ Ukraine U19 | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Jul | @ Croatia U19 | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jun | vs Serbia U19 | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Turkey U19 | 1–1 | D |
Romania U19 – last 4
| 29 Sep | @ Bulgaria U19 | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | vs Hungary U19 | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Ukraine U19 | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Mar | @ Kazakhstan U19 | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Italy U19 and Romania U19.
UEFA U19 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ukraine U19 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 |  Northern Ireland U19 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Kazakhstan U19 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Romania U19 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
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North Macedonia U19Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
On our numbers Italy U19 have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Romania U19 11%.
How many goals will there be in Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Italy U19 vs Romania U19?
Italy U19 vs Romania U19 (UEFA U19 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.