Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.3 – 1.4 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Independiente del Valle and Flamengo on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Independiente del Valle have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Flamengo have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Independiente del Valle, 1.4 for Flamengo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Flamengo to win ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✗ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.32 | – |
Form
Independiente del Valle – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Macara | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Barcelona SC | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Universidad Catolica | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Aug | vs Deportes Tolima | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Leones del Norte | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Deportes Tolima | 1–0 | W |
Flamengo – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Remo | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Mirassol | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Botafogo | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Cruzeiro | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Mirassol | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Flamengo.
CONMEBOL Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 6 | +12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Flamengo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.