Premier League · Uganda · MTN Omondi StadiumKCCA vs Maroons prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: KCCA 1.9 – 0.5 Maroons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
KCCA are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 9% for Maroons.
KCCA have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. Maroons have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. KCCA come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.9 for KCCA, 0.5 for Maroons). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (16%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, KCCA have won 1, Maroons have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | KCCA to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Double chance | KCCA or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | KCCA ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT KCCA / FT KCCA ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.98 | – |
Form
KCCA – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Mbarara City | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Lugazi | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Ntugasaze | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ URA | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Kataka | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Kigezi HomeBoyz | 0–0 | D |
Maroons – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Entebbe UPPC | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Kataka | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Vipers | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Lugazi | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ UPDF | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Blacks Power | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 7 May 2026 | KCCA v Maroons | 3–0 |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NEC | 10 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  BUL | 9 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |  SC Villa | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Entebbe UPPC | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  KCCA | 9 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 |  Police | 10 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Vipers | 9 | +11 | 14 |
| 8 |  URA | 9 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Blacks Power | 10 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Kitara | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Maroons | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Express | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  UPDF | 9 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Lugazi | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Ntugasaze | 9 | -16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Kataka | 10 | -15 | 3 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for KCCA vs Maroons?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win KCCA vs Maroons?
On our numbers KCCA have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maroons 9%.
How many goals will there be in KCCA vs Maroons?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is KCCA vs Maroons?
KCCA vs Maroons (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at MTN Omondi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.