Tasmania NPL · Australia · Darcy Street
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions prediction & analysis
South Hobart to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: South Hobart 2.6 – 1.4 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
South Hobart are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 21% for Kingborough Lions.
South Hobart have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Kingborough Lions have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 4.1 goals (2.6 for South Hobart, 1.4 for Kingborough Lions). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (6%).
In their last 2 meetings, South Hobart have won 1, Kingborough Lions have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is South Hobart to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | South Hobart to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Half-time result | South Hobart ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT South Hobart / FT South Hobart ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.79 | – |
Form
South Hobart – last 6
| 23 Aug | vs Devonport City | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Riverside | 5–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Launceston City | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Devonport City | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Jul | vs Ulverstone | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Jul | @ South East Utd. | 0–1 | L |
Kingborough Lions – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Launceston City | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Devonport City | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Clarence Zebras | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Launceston United | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs Melbourne Victory | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Launceston City | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Jun 2026 | Kingborough Lions v South Hobart | 1–1 |
| 21 Mar 2026 | South Hobart v Kingborough Lions | 5–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
Our pick is South Hobart to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
On our numbers South Hobart have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kingborough Lions 21%.
How many goals will there be in South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Darcy Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.