Liga III Serie 1 · RomaniaPaşcani vs USV Iaşi prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Paşcani 1.1 – 2.2 USV Iaşi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
USV Iaşi travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 18% for Paşcani.
Paşcani have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.0 per game. USV Iaşi have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. USV Iaşi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.1 for Paşcani, 2.2 for USV Iaşi). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | USV Iaşi to win ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time result | USV Iaşi ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT USV Iaşi / FT USV Iaşi ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.16 | – |
Form
Paşcani – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Viitorul Onesti | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Târgu Secuiesc | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Aerostar Bacau | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | @ Bradul Putna | 2–7 | L |
USV Iaşi – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Aerostar Bacau | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Odorheiu Secuiesc | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Bradul Putna | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ CSM FC Vaslui | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Gheorgheni | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ CSM Adjud | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paşcani and USV Iaşi.
Liga III Serie 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSM FC Vaslui | 12 | +16 | 30 |
| 2 |  USV Iaşi | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Bradul Putna | 12 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  CSM Adjud | 12 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |  Târgu Secuiesc | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Aerostar Bacau | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Odorheiu Secuiesc | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Bacău II | 12 | -10 | 15 |
| 9 |  Viitorul Onesti | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Gheorgheni | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 |  Paşcani | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 12 | -19 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Paşcani vs USV Iaşi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paşcani vs USV Iaşi?
On our numbers Paşcani have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and USV Iaşi 65%.
How many goals will there be in Paşcani vs USV Iaşi?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Paşcani vs USV Iaşi?
Paşcani vs USV Iaşi (Liga III Serie 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.