Liga III Serie 1 · RomaniaCSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CSM Adjud 1.2 – 1.3 USV Iaşi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates CSM Adjud and USV Iaşi on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
CSM Adjud have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. USV Iaşi have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for CSM Adjud, 1.3 for USV Iaşi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.99.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | USV Iaşi to win ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT USV Iaşi / FT USV Iaşi ✓ | 23% | 4.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.61 | – |
Form
CSM Adjud – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Viitorul Onesti | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Târgu Secuiesc | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Sep | @ Paşcani | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Aerostar Bacau | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | vs Sporting Lieşti | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Aug | vs Târgu Secuiesc | 2–1 | W |
USV Iaşi – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs FC Bacău II | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Viitorul Onesti | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Târgu Secuiesc | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Sporting Lieşti | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | vs Cetatea Suceava | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Adjud and USV Iaşi.
Liga III Serie 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSM FC Vaslui | 12 | +16 | 30 |
| 2 |  USV Iaşi | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Bradul Putna | 12 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  CSM Adjud | 12 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |  Târgu Secuiesc | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Aerostar Bacau | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Odorheiu Secuiesc | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Bacău II | 12 | -10 | 15 |
| 9 |  Viitorul Onesti | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Gheorgheni | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 |  Paşcani | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 12 | -19 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi?
On our numbers CSM Adjud have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and USV Iaşi 42%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi?
CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi (Liga III Serie 1) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.