Liga Premier Serie A · MexicoAcambaro vs Ciervos prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Acambaro 2.9 – 1.1 Ciervos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Acambaro are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 9% for Ciervos.
Acambaro have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Ciervos have 0 points from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), averaging 0.0 scored and 3.5 conceded. Acambaro come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.9 for Acambaro, 1.1 for Ciervos). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Acambaro to win ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Double chance | Acambaro or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time result | Acambaro ahead at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Acambaro / FT Acambaro ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.77 | – |
Form
Acambaro – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Artesanos Metepec | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Guerreros del Pacifico | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Dragones de Oaxaca | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Cañoneros Marina | 8–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | @ Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 0–4 | L |
Ciervos – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Halcones Negros | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Calor de San Pedro | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Artesanos Metepec | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Guerreros del Pacifico | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Dragones de Oaxaca | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ FC Santiago | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acambaro and Ciervos.
Liga Premier Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Santiago | 11 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 |  Acatlan | 11 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 11 | +18 | 22 |
| 4 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Real Apodaca | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 10 | -26 | 2 |
| 1 |  Dragones de Oaxaca | 10 | +19 | 25 |
| 2 |  Artesanos Metepec | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Acambaro | 11 | +17 | 23 |
| 4 |  Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Halcones Negros | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 11 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Real Refineros | 11 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Ciervos | 11 | -27 | 5 |
| 10 |  Cañoneros Marina | 10 | -36 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Acambaro vs Ciervos?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Acambaro vs Ciervos?
On our numbers Acambaro have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ciervos 9%.
How many goals will there be in Acambaro vs Ciervos?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Acambaro vs Ciervos?
Acambaro vs Ciervos (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.