Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 – 0.8 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Estudiantes L.P. hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 32% for Corinthians.
Estudiantes L.P. have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Corinthians have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Estudiantes L.P. come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.0 for Estudiantes L.P., 0.8 for Corinthians). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 0–0 (16%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.40. For a bigger price, Corinthians to win at 3.65 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Estudiantes L.P. to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.24 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.14 | – |
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Velez Sarsfield | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Newells Old Boys | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | vs Barracas Central | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Sarmiento Junin | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ U. Catolica | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 4–0 | W |
Corinthians – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Chapecoense-sc | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Santos | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Coritiba | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Rosario Central | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Rosario Central | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Corinthians.
CONMEBOL Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 6 | +12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corinthians 32%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.