Gaúcho 3 · Brazil
EC Novo Horizonte vs Real prediction & analysis
Real to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: EC Novo Horizonte 0.9 – 2.2 Real expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 15% for EC Novo Horizonte.
EC Novo Horizonte have taken 3 points from their last 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Real have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (0.9 for EC Novo Horizonte, 2.2 for Real). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Real to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.48 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real to win ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | Real or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Real ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real / FT Real ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 10% | 9.59 | – |
Form
EC Novo Horizonte – last 3
| 30 Sep | vs Clube 1992 | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ SC Rio Grande | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Panambi | 1–3 | L |
Real – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Santa Clara B | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | vs Farroupilha | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs FC Serpa | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Cruz A. | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Academica | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Lajense | 5–5 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC Novo Horizonte and Real.
Gaúcho 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Sport Club | 9 | +30 | 23 |
| 2 |  Futebol Com Vida | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Panambi | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 |  Cruz A. | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 |  Farroupilha | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  São Paulo RS | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  FBC Riograndense RS | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Clube 1992 | 9 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 |  EC Novo Horizonte | 9 | -27 | 3 |
| 10 |  SC Rio Grande | 9 | -20 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for EC Novo Horizonte vs Real?
Our pick is Real to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win EC Novo Horizonte vs Real?
On our numbers EC Novo Horizonte have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real 66%.
How many goals will there be in EC Novo Horizonte vs Real?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is EC Novo Horizonte vs Real?
EC Novo Horizonte vs Real (Gaúcho 3) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.