SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceSHANGHAI SIPG or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân preview and prediction
The match
Công An Nhân Dân travel to Shanghai Pudong Football Stadium in the AFC Champions League on Tuesday 27 October (11:00 WAT) to face SHANGHAI SIPG. SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Công An Nhân Dân sit 11th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Tianjin Teda 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Công An Nhân Dân's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Thanh Hóa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SHANGHAI SIPG arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 1.4 for Công An Nhân Dân. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SHANGHAI SIPG 61%, draw 20%, Công An Nhân Dân 19%.
Safer route: SHANGHAI SIPG or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.55.
Value angle: SHANGHAI SIPG to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SHANGHAI SIPG or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SHANGHAI SIPG 2–1 Công An Nhân Dân. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SHANGHAI SIPG61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
Công An Nhân Dân19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
4.00Expected goals
2.56SHANGHAI SIPG xG
1.44Công An Nhân Dân xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: SHANGHAI SIPG 2.6 – 1.4 Công An Nhân Dân expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
SHANGHAI SIPG ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Form
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
WWDWWD
24 Oct
@ Tianjin Teda
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Chengdu Better City
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Hangzhou Greentown
4–2
W
15 Sep
@ Ratchaburi
6–4
W
5 Sep
vs Beijing Guoan
0–0
D
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
DLLWWL
22 Oct
vs Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Ha Noi
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Kashima
0–1
L
8 Oct
@ Home United
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bình Phước
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SHANGHAI SIPG and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is SHANGHAI SIPG or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers SHANGHAI SIPG have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Công An Nhân Dân 19%.
How many goals will there be in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our predicted score is SHANGHAI SIPG 2–1 Công An Nhân Dân, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Pudong Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Shamal3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1