Challenge League · Malta

Santa Lucía

LDDDD
3–3
FT

Tarxien Rainbows

WWWWW

Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTarxien Rainbows to win ✗60% · @1.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85

Win chances

Santa Lucía20%fair 4.97 · @4.05
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.44
Tarxien Rainbows60%fair 1.66 · @1.71
2.62Expected goals
0.87Santa Lucía xG
1.75Tarxien Rainbows xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Santa Lucía 0.9 – 1.8 Tarxien Rainbows expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Tarxien Rainbows travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 20% for Santa Lucía.

Santa Lucía have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (0W 5D 1L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Tarxien Rainbows have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Tarxien Rainbows come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 for Santa Lucía, 1.8 for Tarxien Rainbows). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.43.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTarxien Rainbows to win ✗60%1.661.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.36
Half-time resultTarxien Rainbows ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tarxien Rainbows / FT Tarxien Rainbows ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.85–

Form

Santa Lucía – last 6

LDDDDD
1 Nov@ Swieqi United0–2L
24 Octvs Naxxar Lions1–1D
17 Oct@ Fgura United0–0D
11 Octvs Zurrieq1–1D
18 Sep@ St. Andrews1–1D
12 Sepvs Vittoriosa Stars0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Tarxien Rainbows – last 6

WWWWWW
30 Octvs Victoria Hotspurs2–1W
24 Oct@ Sirens2–1W
18 Octvs Zebbug Rangers2–1W
11 Oct@ Pietà Hotspurs3–1W
20 Sepvs Attard3–1W
13 Sep@ Mgarr United3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santa Lucía and Tarxien Rainbows.

More Challenge League predictions

FT Sirens3 Vittoriosa Stars2 602515 1XSirens or draw 85%@1.21 ✓ FT Mgarr United0 Naxxar Lions1 191962 2Naxxar Lions to win 62%@1.72 ✓ FT Attard0 Fgura United1 122365 2Fgura United to win 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

On our numbers Santa Lucía have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tarxien Rainbows 60%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.