FKF Premier League · Kenya
Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 2.1 – 0.9 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Murang'a SEAL are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 20% for Mathare United.
Murang'a SEAL have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Mathare United have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Murang'a SEAL, 0.9 for Mathare United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Murang'a SEAL have won 0, Mathare United have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Murang'a SEAL to win | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Murang'a SEAL ahead at half-time | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 11% | 9.22 | – |
Form
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Ulinzi Stars | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs Nairobi United | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ 3K | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Posta Rangers FC | 5–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ GOR Mahia | 2–4 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ APS Bomet | 0–0 | D |
Mathare United – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Posta Rangers FC | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Tusker | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ KCB | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs APS Bomet | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Ulinzi Stars | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Migori Youth | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Mar 2026 | Murang'a SEAL v Mathare United | 1–1 |
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hub →Kenya Police
Posta Rangers FC
1Kenya Police to win
65%@1.75
3K
GOR Mahia
2GOR Mahia to win
68%@1.50
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mathare United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.