FKF Premier League · Kenya
3K
GOR Mahia
3K vs GOR Mahia prediction & analysis
GOR Mahia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.07 – our chance 58% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: 3K 1.1 – 2.6 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
GOR Mahia travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 14% for 3K.
3K have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. GOR Mahia have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.1 for 3K, 2.6 for GOR Mahia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%).
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 2.07 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | GOR Mahia to win | 68% | 1.48 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | GOR Mahia or draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 2.07 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time result | GOR Mahia ahead at half-time | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 10.87 | – |
Form
3K – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs AFC Leopards | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | @ APS Bomet | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Murang'a SEAL | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Bandari | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Mara Sugar | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Posta Rangers FC | 2–1 | W |
GOR Mahia – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Nairobi United | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | @ Homeboyz | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Murang'a SEAL | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs KCB | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Pyramids FC | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Bandari | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 3K and GOR Mahia.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | 3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for 3K vs GOR Mahia?
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win 3K vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers 3K have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and GOR Mahia 68%.
How many goals will there be in 3K vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is 3K vs GOR Mahia?
3K vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.