FKF Premier League · Kenya

Homeboyz

DLDWL
Sun 15 Nov 2026

KCB

WWLWD

Homeboyz vs KCB prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32

8/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKCB to win51% · fair 1.96
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.78

Win chances

Homeboyz38%fair 2.63
Draw11%fair 9.09
KCB51%fair 1.96
2.50Expected goals
1.11Homeboyz xG
1.39KCB xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Homeboyz 1.1 – 1.4 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

KCB shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 38% for Homeboyz.

Homeboyz have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. KCB have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. KCB come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Homeboyz, 1.4 for KCB). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Homeboyz have won 0, KCB have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKCB to win51%1.96–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.95–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT KCB / FT KCB25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111%8.78–

Form

Homeboyz – last 6

DLDWLD
7 Novvs Kenya Police2–2D
28 Octvs GOR Mahia0–1L
18 Octvs Ulinzi Stars1–1D
14 Oct@ Mombasa Elite1–0W
2 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–2L
31 May@ Police1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

KCB – last 6

WWLWDW
6 Novvs APS Bomet1–0W
28 Octvs Mombasa Elite3–1W
23 Oct@ Posta Rangers FC0–1L
17 Octvs Mathare United1–0W
11 Oct@ Nairobi United2–2D
2 Oct@ GOR Mahia2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026KCB v Homeboyz1–1

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub →
Kenya Police Posta Rangers FC 652312 1Kenya Police to win 65%@1.75 3K GOR Mahia 141968 2GOR Mahia to win 68%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Homeboyz vs KCB?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance.

Who will win Homeboyz vs KCB?

On our numbers Homeboyz have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 11% and KCB 51%.

How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs KCB?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Homeboyz vs KCB?

Homeboyz vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.