FKF Premier League · KenyaNairobi United vs APS Bomet prediction & analysis
Nairobi United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.6 – 0.6 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nairobi United are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for APS Bomet.
Nairobi United have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. APS Bomet have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.6 for Nairobi United, 0.6 for APS Bomet). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Nairobi United have won 0, APS Bomet have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Nairobi United to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nairobi United to win ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Nairobi United or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.62 | – |
Form
Nairobi United – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Shabana | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs KCB | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Bandari | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | @ GOR Mahia | 1–0 | W |
| 24 May | vs Police | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | @ Kariobangi Sharks | 0–2 | L |
APS Bomet – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Mathare United | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Murang'a SEAL | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs GOR Mahia | 0–1 | L |
| 31 May | @ Tusker | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | vs AFC Leopards | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | @ Bandari | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | APS Bomet v Nairobi United | 0–0 |
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
Our pick is Nairobi United to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and APS Bomet 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
Nairobi United vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.