FKF Premier League · KenyaAPS Bomet vs GOR Mahia prediction & analysis
APS Bomet to win
Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
APS Bomet hold the edge on home soil with a 50% chance of winning, against 39% for GOR Mahia.
APS Bomet have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. GOR Mahia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. APS Bomet come into this in clearly the better form.
In their last 1 meeting, APS Bomet have won 0, GOR Mahia have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is APS Bomet to win at a 50% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | APS Bomet to win ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
Form
APS Bomet – last 6
| 31 May | @ Tusker | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | vs AFC Leopards | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | @ Bandari | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | @ Mathare United | 2–0 | W |
| 6 May | vs KCB | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | vs Sofapaka | 1–0 | W |
GOR Mahia – last 6
| 7 Aug | @ Rayon Sports | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Aug | vs Al Hilal Omdurman | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | vs Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | vs Vipers | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jul | @ APR | 5–0 | W |
| 31 May | vs Nairobi United | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | APS Bomet v GOR Mahia | 1–2 |
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
Our pick is APS Bomet to win with a 50% chance.
Who will win APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 11% and GOR Mahia 39%.
When is APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.